2026 College Football Playoff

Interactive CFP Predictor

A simulation-driven view of the playoff race: remaining-game probabilities, committee movement, conference championships, qualification odds, seed distributions, and the final 12-team bracket.

Monte Carlo simulationLive CFP rankingsInjury-adjusted powerScenario builder

Explore the predictor Full football model

College Football Playoff

Bracket Predictor

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Monte Carlo playoff odds from remaining-game probabilities, predictive power, current committee position, conference races, and player availability. Scenario controls recalculate the field without changing the game model.

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Seed distribution

Remaining-game leverage

Single-game conditionals plus the win-out ceiling

Projected field

Scenario builder

Playoff-relevant games + projected conference championships

Methodology and limitations

01Game model

Remaining games use published NCAAF probabilities when available, with injury-adjusted power as the fallback.

02Committee model

The latest CFP rankings anchor the résumé layer; future results, SOS, quality wins/losses, and titles move teams from that baseline.

03Scenario engine

Lock relevant outcomes, resolve projected conference championships, then interact with the resulting official 12-team bracket.